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Risk Measures and Management
VaR, TVaR, expected shortfall, coherent risk measures, and ERM frameworks.
Risk measures quantify the potential for adverse outcomes and are fundamental to actuarial risk management, capital modeling, and regulatory compliance. Understanding their properties helps actuaries make better decisions about risk.
Key Concepts
- •Value at Risk (VaR): the alpha-quantile of the loss distribution
- •Tail Value at Risk (TVaR): expected loss given that loss exceeds VaR
- •Expected shortfall and conditional tail expectation
- •Coherent risk measures: the four axioms (monotonicity, subadditivity, positive homogeneity, translation invariance)
- •VaR is not subadditive: the diversification problem
- •Risk-based capital: NAIC RBC formula components
- •Economic capital: internal models vs. standard formulas
- •Stress testing and scenario analysis for risk assessment
- •Enterprise risk management: identifying, measuring, and managing all risks
- •Capital allocation: Euler method and marginal contributions
Study Tips
- 1.Memorize the formulas for VaR and TVaR for common distributions.
- 2.Practice computing VaR and TVaR for both continuous and discrete distributions.
- 3.Understand why TVaR is preferred over VaR from a theoretical perspective.
- 4.Work through examples showing VaR violating subadditivity.
- 5.Connect risk measures to practical capital requirements.
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